{"id":59438,"date":"2024-05-30T03:35:29","date_gmt":"2024-05-30T07:35:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.iwillteachyoutoberich.com\/?p=59438"},"modified":"2025-04-01T01:58:27","modified_gmt":"2025-04-01T05:58:27","slug":"inverted-yield-curve","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.iwillteachyoutoberich.com\/inverted-yield-curve\/","title":{"rendered":"Inverted Yield Curve: what is it and how does it predict disaster?"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"59438\" class=\"elementor elementor-59438\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-6c8a88e elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default qodef-elementor-content-no\" data-id=\"6c8a88e\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-24fa69a7\" data-id=\"24fa69a7\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-401456c7 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"401456c7\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><\/p>\n<p>The inverted yield curve is a graph that shows that younger treasury bond yields are yielding more interest than older ones.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>And it\u2019s TERRIFYING for financial pundits all over the world. It\u2019s a graph that could mean the difference between a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iwillteachyoutoberich.com\/bull-vs-bear\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">thriving bull market<\/a>\u00a0or the downswing of a bear market.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>AND it\u2019s been known to throw entire economies into a state of abject terror and chaos.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Want to see what it looks like? Okay. Don\u2019t say I didn\u2019t warn you &#8230;<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<center><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-31637\" src=\"https:\/\/www.iwillteachyoutoberich.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/inverted-yield-curve-graph.png\" alt=\"Inverted yield curve chart example\" width=\"455\" height=\"330\" \/><em>(Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/media1.britannica.com\/eb-media\/65\/164665-004-CEE1BF73.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Britannica<\/a>)<\/em><\/center>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<center><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-31638\" src=\"https:\/\/www.iwillteachyoutoberich.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/woman-screaming-gif.gif\" alt=\"Gif of a woman screaming in a horror movie\" width=\"399\" height=\"310\" \/><em>Pictured: An actual financial pundit\u2019s reaction to an inverted yield curve.<\/em><\/center><center><\/center><!-- \/wp:html -->\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>While it might not seem like much at first glance, the inverted yield curve is actually the bellwether for an\u00a0economic recession. You know, that thing that happened in 2008 that was kind of a huge deal?<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>Luckily, the inverted yield curve is a rare occurrence \u2026 BUT it\u2019s useful to know what it means and how to spot one when it happens.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>Why?<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>Simple: You don\u2019t want to get swept up in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iwillteachyoutoberich.com\/herd-mentality\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">herd mentality<\/a>\u00a0of one, and being able to recognize when it happens is the first step in preventing yourself from making bad decisions based on what everyone else is doing.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>So let\u2019s take a look at the inverted yield curve, how it happens, and what it means for you and your finances.<\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:heading --><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"h.likb6ewz8xru\">What is an inverted yield curve?<\/h2>\n<p><!-- \/wp:heading --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>To understand what an inverted yield curve is, you must first understand one of the most basic financial asset classes out there: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iwillteachyoutoberich.com\/all-about-stocks-and-bonds\/#2\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Bonds<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>A bond is like an IOU given to you by a bank. When you lend the bank money, it&#8217;ll give you back that same amount at a later time along with a fixed amount of interest.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>For example, if you bought a two-year bond for $100 with a 2% annual return on it, that means you\u2019ll get $104.04 back after two years (this accounts for compounding).<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>Yes, that\u2019s a low return rate. However, bonds have a number of benefits that justify the small rate of return:<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:list --><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>They\u2019re an extremely stable investment. <\/strong>This is especially true when it comes to government bonds. The only way you can lose your money with them is if the government defaulted on its loans \u2014 which the U.S. government has <em>never <\/em>done.<\/li>\n<li><strong>They\u2019re guaranteed to have a return. <\/strong>This means that you\u2019ll know exactly how much you\u2019re getting on your ROI when you purchase a bond.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Longer investments yield higher returns. <\/strong>The longer you\u2019re willing to wait on your bond typically means that you\u2019re going to have higher return rates. I say typically because there are exceptions to this (Hint: It has to do with what I&#8217;m talking about right now).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><!-- \/wp:list --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>And when people refer to inverted yield curves, they\u2019re typically referring to the yields on U.S. Treasury bonds, or bonds guaranteed to investors by the U.S. government.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>BONUS: If you want even more information on investment basics, check out my video on the hierarchy of investments. Don\u2019t be thrown off by the potato quality of the video \u2014 the advice is timeless.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><iframe src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/16gGpMXW1Vc\" width=\"100%\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>A yield curve graph\u00a0shows the returns of those bonds (i.e., the yield) based on maturity, or how old the bond is.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>A typical one looks like this:<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:html --><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<center><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-31639\" src=\"https:\/\/www.iwillteachyoutoberich.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/normal-yield-curve.png\" alt=\"What a normal yield curve looks like graph\" width=\"481\" height=\"289\" \/><em>Notice how it curves? That\u2019s why it\u2019s called a yield curve. (Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.money-zine.com\/definitions\/investing-dictionary\/normal-yield-curve\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">money-zine.com<\/a>)<\/em><\/center>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:html --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:html --><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<center><\/center>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:html --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:html --><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<center><\/center>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:html --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>The above is a normal yield curve. It shows that older bonds have higher interest rates and will yield more than younger ones.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, an \u201cinverted\u201d\u00a0yield curve looks like this:<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:html --><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<center><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-31637\" src=\"https:\/\/www.iwillteachyoutoberich.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/inverted-yield-curve-graph.png\" alt=\"Inverted yield curve chart example\" width=\"455\" height=\"330\" \/><\/center>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:html --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>This occurs when the curve inverts or goes the other way. It shows that <em>younger <\/em>bonds (i.e., bonds that are two years or less) yield more in interest than older ones.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>This shows the lack of investor confidence in older bonds and is a good indicator that a recession is incoming (more on that soon).<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>You can find the daily fund rate straight from the U.S. Department of Treasury itself <a href=\"https:\/\/www.treasury.gov\/resource-center\/data-chart-center\/interest-rates\/Pages\/TextView.aspx?data=yield\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>But a yield curve doesn\u2019t invert on its own. Let\u2019s take a look at a few elements that are needed for an inverted yield curve to occur.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<div class=\"schema-faq wp-block-yoast-faq-block\">\n<div id=\"faq-question-1593625055109\" class=\"schema-faq-section\">\n<p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!-- \/wp:cover --><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-5749704 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default qodef-elementor-content-no\" data-id=\"5749704\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-162e8e9\" data-id=\"162e8e9\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-9a4e0ea elementor-widget elementor-widget-qi_addons_for_elementor_blockquote\" data-id=\"9a4e0ea\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"qi_addons_for_elementor_blockquote.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"qodef-shortcode qodef-m qodef-qi-blockquote qodef-layout--top qodef--\">\n\t\t\t\t<h4 class=\"qodef-m-text\">\n\t\t\tWant to build a business that enables you to live YOUR Rich Life? 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value=\"https:\/\/www.iwillteachyoutoberich.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59438\"><input type=\"hidden\" name=\"url_referer\" value=\"http:\/\/www.iwillteachyoutoberich.com\/inverted-yield-curve\/\"><button type=\"submit\" name=\"wpforms[submit]\" id=\"wpforms-submit-53519\" class=\"wpforms-submit\" data-alt-text=\"Sending...\" data-submit-text=\"Give Me My Free Guide\" aria-live=\"assertive\" value=\"wpforms-submit\">Give Me My Free Guide<\/button><\/div><\/form><\/div>  <!-- .wpforms-container --><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-ce82801 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default qodef-elementor-content-no\" data-id=\"ce82801\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-f21d406\" data-id=\"f21d406\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-efb5f4e elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"efb5f4e\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><span style=\"font-family: 'PP Mori', 'PP Mori'; font-size: 40px; font-weight: 600; letter-spacing: 0px;\">How does an inverted yield curve happen?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:heading --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>Humans are more motivated by a fear of loss than anything else. This is a psychological phenomenon called \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.scientificamerican.com\/article\/what-is-loss-aversion\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">loss aversion<\/a>.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>When the possibility of loss comes up, we get scared. We remember the things we\u2019ve lost more acutely than what we\u2019ve gained (just ask any gambler).<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>When we\u2019re scared we tend to make weird decisions like selling off all of our investments due to a dip in the markets or splitting up the group in a haunted house so the murderer can pick you off one by one.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:html --><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<center><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-31641\" src=\"https:\/\/www.iwillteachyoutoberich.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/scooby-doo-gang.png\" alt=\"The scooby doo gang looking surprised\" width=\"500\" height=\"374\" \/><em>Typical investors. (Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/images6.fanpop.com\/image\/photos\/32500000\/The-Gang-Scared-scooby-doo-32575561-500-374.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Fanpop<\/a>)<\/em><\/center>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:html --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:html --><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<center><\/center>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:html --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>When it comes to a recession, many investors will start to invest in long-term U.S. Treasury bonds as it approaches \u2014 since they know that the interest rates on other assets like stocks will soon drop.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>As more and more people begin to buy long-term bonds, however, the Federal Reserve responds by lowering the yield rates for those securities. And since people aren\u2019t buying a lot of short-term U.S. Treasury bonds, the Fed will make those yields <em>higher <\/em>to attract investors.\u00a0To recap:<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:list --><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Bonds are considered safe.<\/li>\n<li>People who are not confident in the market will move more money into bonds.<\/li>\n<li>With more people investing in bonds, their return rate goes down.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><!-- \/wp:list --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>This is basic supply and demand. The less people want a bond, the more financial institutions like the Fed are going to make that bond appealing to investors.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>A great example of a yield curve inverting occurred before the 2008 housing market crisis in <a href=\"https:\/\/capitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/The-Inverted-Yield-Curve.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">December 2005<\/a>\u00a0\u2014 almost three years before the crash.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>The Fed raised the <a href=\"http:\/\/money.cnn.com\/2005\/12\/13\/news\/economy\/fed_rates\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">federal fund rate to 4.25%<\/a>\u00a0due to a number of factors.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>Mainly, they were aware that there was a growing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/newsevents\/speech\/bernanke20100103a.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">price bubble<\/a>\u00a0within certain assets like housing, and they were concerned that low interest rates were causing this.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>So when the fund rate was raised to 4.25% in 2005, it caused the two-year U.S. Treasury bond to yield 4.4% while the longer term <a href=\"https:\/\/www.treasury.gov\/resource-center\/data-chart-center\/interest-rates\/Pages\/TextView.aspx?data=yieldYear&amp;year=2005\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">seven-year bond only yielded 4.39%<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>Soon the curve began to invert more and more as the recession began approaching and investors continued to invest more heavily into longer-term bonds.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>Eventually, the United States found itself thrown into a recession after the housing market crash roughly\u00a0two years later.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>Note: The inverted yield curve wasn\u2019t the cause of the recession but rather a symptom of it. Think of the inverted yield curve as a cough or fever in a\u00a0greater sickness.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>The last <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2017\/06\/05\/inverted-yield-curve-predicting-coming-recession-commentary.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">seven recessions<\/a>\u00a0the country has seen were preceded by an inverted yield curve \u2014 and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2017-12-07\/inverted-yield-curve-in-2018-is-taking-over-wall-street-outlooks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">many experts agree<\/a>\u00a0that another inversion of the yield curve could be on its way.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>While the inverted yield curve is a great indication that there\u2019s a recession and a subsequent bear market is on the way, what does that mean for you? What should a typical non\u2013Wall Street, every-person do when you see a headline like this?<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:html --><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<center><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-31642\" src=\"https:\/\/www.iwillteachyoutoberich.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/inverted-yield-curve-headline-example-1024x461.png\" alt=\"Screenshot of a headline about the inverted yield curve spelling disaster\" width=\"580\" height=\"261\" \/><br \/><em>(Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.scmp.com\/business\/article\/2122619\/does-inverted-yield-curve-spell-trouble-us-economy\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">South China Morning Post<\/a>)<\/em><\/center>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:html --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:heading --><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"h.himlouc8tf7z\">How an inverted yield curve affects YOU<\/h2>\n<p><!-- \/wp:heading --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>First, the good news: Inverted yield curves don\u2019t last forever. In fact, the last one lasted until the summer of 2007 when it flattened out and began to revert back to its normal stasis.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>An inverted yield curve isn\u2019t without consequence to you and could affect you in a number of different ways depending on your financial situation.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>For example, if you\u2019re a long-term investor and have money tied up in long-term bonds, you\u2019re going to see interest rates for those bonds go lower than short-term ones. This can be alarming to any investor trying to plan for the future, since you\u2019re earning less due to falling interest rates.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>Also, if you <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iwillteachyoutoberich.com\/buying-a-house\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">purchased a home<\/a>\u00a0with an adjustable rate mortgage, there\u2019s a good chance your interest rate schedule is predicated on the current short-term bond interest rate.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>That means that it\u2019ll mirror bond interest rates when they fall and grow. So if those rates are high, you\u2019re going to end up paying more in interest.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>(Pro-tip: I<a href=\"https:\/\/www.iwillteachyoutoberich.com\/pay-off-mortgage-early\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u00a0suggest you get a fixed-rate mortgage<\/a>\u00a0to prevent situations like this from occurring.)<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If you REALLY want to make sure you\u2019re protected, make sure you check out my article on <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.iwillteachyoutoberich.com\/all-weather-portfolio\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">creating an all weather portfolio<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:heading --><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"h.p5lfydq5fvon\">What should you do when an inverted yield curve happens?<\/h2>\n<p><!-- \/wp:heading --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>Whenever it comes to recessions, depressions, random Facebook friends asking you to join their MLM schemes,\u00a0or any other outside negative force on your life, always remember one thing:<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:html --><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<center><strong>Focus on the things you can control, and let go of the things you can\u2019t. <\/strong><\/center>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:html --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>And one thing that you can control to help you get ready if the inverted yield curve ever happens is creating an emergency fund.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>This is money you save away for financial disasters like medical emergencies, auto or home repairs, and, you guessed it, an inverted yield curve signaling a financial recession.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>If you\u2019re ever in a situation where you lose your income or you run into a huge financial emergency, it\u2019s nice to have a safety net that you can fall back on.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.iwillteachyoutoberich.com\/emergency-fund\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">We&#8217;ve written all about emergency funds before<\/a>, so I won\u2019t go into too much detail. But the basics are simple:<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:list --><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Calculate three to six months of expenses. <\/strong>If you get laid off due to a recession, it\u2019s going to take some time to find another job. That\u2019s why you need to have your living expenses taken care of. This includes things like rent, mortgage payments, car payments, utilities, and groceries.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Use a sub-savings account. <\/strong>A sub-savings account is a smaller account you create along with your normal savings account that\u2019s set aside for specific goals. By using a sub-savings account, you\u2019re much more likely to set aside money for your emergency fund due to psychology. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iwillteachyoutoberich.com\/tip-using-sub-savings-accounts-for-unexpected-expenses\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Read more about it on our article on sub-saving accounts here<\/a>.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Automate your finances. <\/strong>This is my system for investing, saving, and spending automatically. When you receive your paycheck, your money goes to exactly where it needs to go.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><!-- \/wp:list --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>To help you automate your savings and build a fund to protect you against the inverted yield curve, we want to offer you something: <strong>The Ultimate Guide to Personal Finance<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>Along with learning how to automate your finances, you\u2019ll also get tactics on how to:<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:list --><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Master your 401k: <\/strong>Take advantage of free money offered to you by your company \u2026 and get rich while doing it.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Manage Roth IRAs: <\/strong>Start saving for retirement in a worthwhile long-term investment account.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Spend the money you have \u2014 guilt-free: <\/strong>By leveraging the systems in this book, you\u2019ll learn exactly how you\u2019ll be able to save money to spend without the guilt.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><!-- \/wp:list --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>The things you\u2019ll learn in this Ultimate Guide will set you up for financial success way more than worrying about an inverted yield curve.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>Enter your info below and get on your way to living a Rich Life today.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:heading {\"level\":3} --><\/p>\n<h3 id=\"h-frequently-asked-questions\">Frequently Asked Questions:<\/h3>\n<p><!-- \/wp:heading --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:yoast\/faq-block {\"questions\":[{\"id\":\"faq-question-1593624956623\",\"question\":[\"Why does an inverted yield curve predict recession?\"],\"answer\":[\"An inverted yield curve occurs when long-term bonds yield less than short-term bonds because of a perceived poor economic outlook. This is the opposite of normal. Every major recession in the past 100 years was preceded by an inverted yield curve. Make sure you have \",{\"type\":\"a\",\"props\":{\"href\":\"https:\/\/www.iwillteachyoutoberich.com\/emergency-fund\/\",\"children\":[\"built an emergency fund\"]}},\" to prepare yourself in case it happens again. \"],\"jsonQuestion\":\"Why does an inverted yield curve predict recession?\",\"jsonAnswer\":\"An inverted yield curve occurs when long-term bonds yield less than short-term bonds because of a perceived poor economic outlook. This is the opposite of normal. Every major recession in the past 100 years was preceded by an inverted yield curve. Make sure you have \\u003ca href=\\u0022https:\/\/www.iwillteachyoutoberich.com\/emergency-fund\/\\u0022\\u003ebuilt an emergency fund\\u003c\/a\\u003e to prepare yourself in case it happens again. \"},{\"id\":\"faq-question-1593624966162\",\"question\":[\"What causes an inverted yield curve?\"],\"answer\":[\"When confidence in the markets drops, people seek more secure long term investments like long-term government bonds. This causes the yield of long-term bonds to drop below the yield of short-term bonds, causing an inverted yield curve.\"],\"jsonQuestion\":\"What causes an inverted yield curve?\",\"jsonAnswer\":\"When confidence in the markets drops, people seek more secure long term investments like long-term government bonds. This causes the yield of long-term bonds to drop below the yield of short-term bonds, causing an inverted yield curve.\"},{\"id\":\"faq-question-1593624975773\",\"question\":[\"Is the yield curve currently inverted?\"],\"answer\":[\"Not currently, no. The last inversion was in August 2019.\"],\"jsonQuestion\":\"Is the yield curve currently inverted?\",\"jsonAnswer\":\"Not currently, no. The last inversion was in August 2019.\"},{\"id\":\"faq-question-1593625055109\",\"question\":[\"How often does an inverted yield curve predict a recession?\"],\"answer\":[\"An inverted yield curve doesn\u2019t always mean there will be a recession, but there has been an inverted yield curve before every recession in the past 100 years. It's the signal most trusted indicator that a recession may be coming.\"],\"jsonQuestion\":\"How often does an inverted yield curve predict a recession?\",\"jsonAnswer\":\"An inverted yield curve doesn\u2019t always mean there will be a recession, but there has been an inverted yield curve before every recession in the past 100 years. It's the signal most trusted indicator that a recession may be coming.\"}]} --><\/p>\n<div class=\"schema-faq wp-block-yoast-faq-block\">\n<div id=\"faq-question-1593624956623\" class=\"schema-faq-section\">\n<p><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">Why does an inverted yield curve predict recession?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">An inverted yield curve occurs when long-term bonds yield less than short-term bonds because of a perceived poor economic outlook. This is the opposite of normal. Every major recession in the past 100 years was preceded by an inverted yield curve. Make sure you have <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iwillteachyoutoberich.com\/emergency-fund\/\">built an emergency fund<\/a> to prepare yourself in case it happens again.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"faq-question-1593624966162\" class=\"schema-faq-section\">\n<p><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">What causes an inverted yield curve?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">When confidence in the markets drops, people seek more secure long term investments like long-term government bonds. This causes the yield of long-term bonds to drop below the yield of short-term bonds, causing an inverted yield curve.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"faq-question-1593624975773\" class=\"schema-faq-section\">\n<p><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">Is the yield curve currently inverted?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">Not currently, no. The last inversion was in August 2019.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"faq-question-1593625055109\" class=\"schema-faq-section\">\n<p><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">How often does an inverted yield curve predict a recession?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">An inverted yield curve doesn\u2019t always mean there will be a recession, but there has been an inverted yield curve before every recession in the past 100 years. It&#8217;s the signal most trusted indicator that a recession may be coming.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-b8817bd elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default qodef-elementor-content-no\" data-id=\"b8817bd\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-110ef50\" data-id=\"110ef50\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-70b2f3d elementor-widget elementor-widget-qi_addons_for_elementor_blockquote\" data-id=\"70b2f3d\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"qi_addons_for_elementor_blockquote.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"qodef-shortcode qodef-m qodef-qi-blockquote qodef-layout--top qodef--\">\n\t\t\t\t<h4 class=\"qodef-m-text\">\n\t\t\tReady to improve your habits and level up your life? Download our FREE Ultimate Guide To Habits below.\t\t<\/h4>\n\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-f728876 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default qodef-elementor-content-no\" data-id=\"f728876\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-c789335\" data-id=\"c789335\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-422bfa7 elementor-widget elementor-widget-qi_addons_for_elementor_wp_forms\" data-id=\"422bfa7\" 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